Hot summer will be replaced by a cheerful autumn — The West cannot change the course of events

Hot — in every sense — summer-2022 leaves, but the global Outlook for the fall don’t give them no occasion to say that the worst will not be exact. And it is not only in the conflict in Ukraine — it is just part of more and more clearly the unfolding global crisis. The concept of “crisis” is already heavily discredited — but it’s easier to call it, that actually is an acute phase transformation of the world order.

The global recession has not started yet, although the energy crisis is already underway in full growth — and that in the center of it was Europe, not by accident. No, it is clear that the rise in energy prices has hit the third world much stronger than in the West, is enough to give examples of Sri Lanka and Pakistan — but to the problems in the developing countries of the global, that is, the Western media used to, but its really hard cause them to have increased anxiety. Europe and the United States anxiously waiting for the upcoming autumn — expecting a sharp increase social and political tensions in their home.

To stop this process is impossible, and not only because the West has provoked a rise in prices, has made a bid to win over Russia in Ukraine and for this began the process of abandoning Russian energy. No, this will only aggravate and so the growing problems in the countries themselves, and in their position on the world stage. So, for example, attempt to isolate Russia after the outbreak of hostilities in Ukraine has led to the fact that the world was divided into those who support the claims of the United States and Europe to preserve the hegemony of those who are against it.

Moreover, this separation becomes more and more distinct. If six months ago for the UN resolution condemning the “Russian aggression” vote of 141 countries out of 194, in another statement urging Russia “to immediately cease hostilities” has signed a total of 54 countries. That is almost the only Western with a small number of them joined the developing States.

It is clear that the vast majority did not support anti-Russian resolution led by same — the world does not want to continue the American and European hegemony, and an attempt to isolate and punish Russia is seen as the way in which the collective West wants to keep his elusive superiority.

In the end, instead of strengthening its global position, he only weakened them and the rest of the world sees it and understands. Plus, the sanctions have hit the Western economies — and this is not even the bottom of the crisis. The crisis is not economic — and political, of the former to Ukraine — but through his own actions, Europe and the United States have accelerated that process.

What awaits the West in the coming weeks? The change of power in the UK — the new Prime Minister Liz Trails will be in an even weaker position than Johnson, and the country is entering a period of preparation for the parliamentary elections (it is possible that the extraordinary) — and this against the background of separatist tendencies in Scotland and unsolved consequences of Brexit.

German coalition will be difficult to survive the next six months and, although it persists, political discontent with Chancellor Holzem will lead to the fact that the impact of the country on European processes will diminish.

In Italy in a month’s parliamentary elections — they are virtually guaranteed victory right-wing coalition led by Georgia Meloni (which will become the first woman Prime Minister in Italian history) and with the participation of the parties Matteo Salvini and Berlusconi.

The Italians are now skeptical about the prospects of tough confrontation with Russia and the new government will be for propaganda purposes to play this card. Although it does not take real attempt to go against the EU’s policy on the Ukrainian question, the overall stability of the EU it will not add.

In the United States in November midterm elections will be held in the Congress, the results of which the Republicans trump will establish control over both chambers of the Parliament, and Biden turns into a lame duck. But the most important outcome of these elections will be fatal deepening the split in the United States — will take a course on presidential election in 2024, the results of which the losing party to recognize not going to. The tension is now visible at the increasingly aggressive rhetoric of the parties — for example, on Thursday, Biden said that trump’s slogan “Make America Great Again” is blowing extremist sentiment and ideology part of the Republicans can be compared with the “polepassion”. America is headed for a split — and stop her can only wonder.

It is clear that all these processes have nothing to do with what is happening in Ukraine — they have major internal causes. But the spiral of conflict with Russia now affects everything that happens in the West — although there’ve been convinced that Moscow is interfering in their Affairs that now again waiting for and direct our intervention.

For example, in Italy the same Atlanticist forces claim that the Kremlin is betting on a victory for the right — although in the current situation, for us it does not matter who is in power in the various countries of the West, and how it will affect the handling and the unity of the “Golden billion”. If you strengthen it — we’ll be up against: why do we need to strengthen who have declared an enemy?

But the fact of the matter is that the West has entered on the path which he had virtually no good short-term and medium-term options. And not because of the machinations of Russia, and because of accumulated their own mistakes and excessive ambitions. Come right or left — still deepen a schism, because the right will not give anything radically change, and the policy of the left will cause even more outrage right.

While Russia will still be accused of trying to influence Western public opinion (although we chopped off almost all possibilities for broadcast there) and direct intervention in the internal Affairs of Europe and the United States — not to mention the fact that our operation not only creates problems for the West, but also poses a threat to him.

To answer all these can only be one — in relationship, we are now guided by medical harm principle: no our intervention (to save or harm) may not give such a strong effect as the one that calls the native policy in Western countries. Let them continue to do what I do, go where you go, it will be the best option for us. Everything you need for the fall of their own, they will do absolutely alone.